Blind instinct takes us there, but we may well get burnt.
We might get more things right in this world if we were a little less certain about everything.
How can we avoid the trap of certainty?
The wrongs of the righteous
There's no lack of certainty in the world, and lots of evidence that despite that certainty, we're wrong!
Look at the many things that we have been told by our parents, public health and other paternalistic authorities which are simply not supported by the evidence:
- we need to drink 8 glasses of water a day - untrue and from an uncertain source, with overhydration (hyponatraemia) being more likely to kill us
- eating grain is good for you, eating fat is bad for you - yet the evidence suggests the reverse: carbohydrate intake is associated with higher mortality and fat intake with lower mortality!
- don't miss breakfast - but intermittent fasting can provide multiple benefits
- sugar makes kids hyper - a product of parental hyperactive fears more than any hyperactivity in the child (sugar's harm is more longterm - see #2).
- peptic ulcers can't be caused by bacteria - a myth busted spectacularly by WA-based scientists Barry Marshall & Robin Warren